Indian Politics: Media Outlets Reveal Predictions for Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, and Mizoram Elections

New Delhi, 30th November 2023: Several media outlets have announced the results of exit polls for all five states — Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, and Mizoram. The voting in these states occurred between November 7 and November 30, with the results for the assembly elections set to be disclosed on Sunday, December 3.

An assembly election exit poll is conducted by survey agencies to estimate the likely election outcome. Voters exiting the polling station are asked about their voting choice, hence the term ‘exit poll.’ These polls, conducted immediately after individuals have cast their votes, are expected to provide insights into the assembly outcomes, serving as a crucial indicator of India’s sentiment leading up to the general assembly elections in 2024.

However, it’s essential to note that the accuracy of assembly election exit polls has been questionable in the past, with instances of discrepancies. This uncertainty arises because individuals may name a candidate different from the one they voted for.

1) Madhya Pradesh

In Madhya Pradesh, where a majority requires 116 seats out of 230, various exit polls offer diverse predictions for the electoral outcome:

– According to Jan Ki Baat, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is anticipated to secure 100-123 seats, with the Indian National Congress projected to attain 102-125 seats.

– Republic TV-Matrize foresees 118-130 seats for the BJP and 97-107 seats for the Congress.

– TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat suggests that the BJP might secure 106-116 seats, while the Congress could secure 111-121 seats.

– Today’s Chanakya predicts a significant victory for the BJP, estimating 151 seats (plus or minus 12) and assigning 74 seats (plus or minus 12) to the Congress.

– Jist-TIF-NAI notes a Congress advantage similar to 2018, predicting 107-124 seats for the party against the BJP’s projection of 102-119 seats.

2) Rajasthan

With a majority requirement of 101 out of 200 seats in Rajasthan, various exit polls offer a snapshot of the expected electoral scenario:

– India Today-Axis My India anticipates a closely contested race, projecting 86-106 seats for the Indian National Congress, 80-100 seats for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and 9-18 seats for others.

– Jan Ki Baat forecasts 100-122 seats for the BJP and 62-85 seats for the Congress, while TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat predicts 100-110 seats for the BJP and 90-100 seats for the Congress.

– According to Times Now ETG, the BJP is expected to secure 108-128 seats, with the Congress projected to attain 56-72 seats in Rajasthan.

– Jist-TIF-NAI envisions a continuation of Rajasthan’s tradition of political shifts, predicting 110 seats for the BJP and 70 seats for the Congress.

3) Chattisgarh

With a majority requirement of 46 out of 90 seats in Chhattisgarh, various exit polls offer insights into the expected electoral scenario:

– ABP News-C Voter predicts 36-48 seats for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and 41-53 seats for the Indian National Congress.

– India Today-Axis My India forecasts 36-46 seats for the BJP and 40-50 seats for the Congress.

– India TV-CNX anticipates 30-40 seats for the BJP and 46-56 seats for the Congress.

– Jan Ki Baat projects 34-45 seats for the BJP and 42-53 seats for the Congress.

– Today’s Chanakya predicts 33 seats for the BJP (plus-minus 8 seats) and a clear majority of 57 seats for the Congress (plus-minus 8).

4) Telangana

In Telangana, where a majority requires 59 out of 118 seats, diverse exit poll predictions offer a glimpse into the expected electoral scenario:

– India TV-CNX forecasts 63-79 seats for the Indian National Congress, 31-47 seats for the Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS), 2-4 seats for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and 5-7 seats for the All India Majlis-E-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM).

– Jan Ki Baat predicts that the Congress will secure 48-64 seats, the BRS 40-55 seats, BJP 7-13 seats, and AIMIM 4-7 seats.

– Republic TV-Matrize anticipates that the Congress will attain 58-68 seats, BRS 46-56 seats, BJP 4-9 seats, and AIMIM 5-9 seats.

– TV9 Bharatvarsh Polstrat states that the Congress is expected to secure 49-59 seats, and the BRS would secure 48-58 seats.

5) Mizoram

In Mizoram, where a majority requires 21 out of 40 seats, various exit polls offer perspectives on the expected electoral scenario:

– India TV-CNX suggests that Mizo National Front (MNF) would secure 14-18 seats, Zoram People’s Movement (ZPM) 12-16 seats, Indian National Congress 8-10 seats, and Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) 0-2 seats.

– ABP News-C Voter predicts MNF to secure 15-21 seats, ZPM 12-18 seats, and Congress 2-8 seats.

– Jan Ki Baat projects MNF to attain 10-14 seats, ZPM 15-25 seats, Congress 5-9 seats, and BJP 0-2 seats.